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2018 NBA draft lottery: Which teams have the most riding on the ping-pong balls


NBA Commissioner Adam Silver will preside over the NBA draft lottery on Tuesday night in Chicago. (Michael Conroy/Associated Press)

The NBA will select the order of its June draft by drawing lots on Tuesday night in Chicago among the 14 teams that failed to make the postseason or traded away their draft picks.

Phoenix, following a 21-61 finish, has the best chance at the No. 1 pick at 25 percent. Memphis, at 22-60, is not far behind at 19.9 percent, with Dallas (24-58) third at 13.8 percent.

But that all comes down to the fate of the bouncing ping-pong balls and which one Commissioner Adam Silver grabs first. The Cavaliers, and either the 76ers or Celtics, the top teams in the Eastern Conference, have lottery picks, too, due to trades. The Cavaliers have a chance to get help for LeBron James — or plan for his departure — with a pick via the Brooklyn Nets as part of their haul for trading Kyrie Irving. Meanwhile, either the Sixers or Celtics will benefit from the Lakers sending out a first-rounder for Steve Nash six years ago — the bill for which is finally coming due.

Here’s everything you need to know about tonight’s draft lottery:

When: 7:30 p.m.

How to watch/stream: ESPN or the ESPN app

Best odds: Phoenix (25 percent), Memphis (19.9 percent), Dallas (13.8 percent)

Worst odds: Detroit (0.7 percent), Los Angeles Clippers (0.6 percent), Denver (0.5 percent)

Top prospects: Luka Doncic, G, Slovenia | DeAndre Ayton, C, Arizona | Jaren Jackson Jr., F, Michigan State | Marvin Bagley III, F, Duke | Mohamed Bamba, C, Texas | Trae Young, G, Oklahoma | Michael Porter Jr., G/F, Missouri

What’s at stake for each team?

For Phoenix … The No. 1 pick would allow the Suns to draft either Arizona center DeAndre Ayton or Slovenian wunderkind Luka Doncic. Either would be welcome under new Coach Igor Kokoskov and alongside guard Devin Booker.

For Memphis … After an atrocious season, a lottery win would give the Grizzlies a chance to inject a premium young talent onto a veteran-laden team led by Marc Gasol and Mike Conley. The Grizzlies look like they have reached the end of what has been a terrific run, but the right young player could potentially allow them to extend it by a few years or more.

For Dallas … Dallas openly committed to finishing with the best draft pick possible after spending the past several years seeking a veteran talent to pair with Hall of Famer Dirk Nowitzki. Point guard Dennis Smith was a strong selection with the ninth pick last year; another hit this year could finally give Dallas the bridge to its post-Nowitzki future.

For Atlanta … General Manager Travis Schlenk committed to a full rebuild when taking over a year ago, and hiring Lloyd Pierce — known for his player development skills — as his head coach last week. That plan, though, will only work if Atlanta gets its picks right. Winning the lottery in a draft in which the Hawks have four picks inside the top 33 would be a great place to start.

For Orlando … Since trading Dwight Howard in August of 2012, the Magic have been on a treadmill of mediocrity, failing to make the playoffs in each of the past six seasons. Three coaches and a new front office later, the Magic hope Tuesday is the start of a new and more successful era in Central Florida.

For Chicago … A decade ago, the Bulls jumped up to win the lottery and the chance to get hometown hero Derrick Rose. A lot has changed since then, but now, with the lottery site moving from New York to Chicago, the Bulls will be hoping the change in location provides enough luck for them to add another high draft pick to pair with second-year forward Lauri Markkanen.

For Sacramento … With the Minnesota Timberwolves making the playoffs this year, Sacramento’s streak of 12 straight years without a postseason appearance is the new leader among NBA teams. Another team that’s never won the lottery, Sacramento could desperately use some ping-pong balls bouncing their way.

For Cleveland … Want to bet on a long shot? Cleveland winning, with Brooklyn’s pick, is a good bet. Three of the last four times the Cavaliers have been here (either with their own pick or someone else’s), they’ve won it. That would certainly come in handy for Cleveland, which would love a top three pick to equal either a prime young talent or a trade asset that can be used to lure more veteran help for LeBron James.

For everyone else, click here.

Fun stuff:

Look out for mentions of special good luck charms representatives from lottery teams bring with them to the event Tuesday night. The Magic’s co-founder, for example, will carry a “Lil Penny” doll with him on stage. What is a “Lil Penny” doll, you ask? It’s a toy fashioned after former Magic star and new Memphis Tigers Coach Penny Hardaway, and once voiced by Chris Rock.

It looks something like this:

The last time the Magic beat the odds to grab to No. 1 overall pick was in 1993, when the team won with a 1.52-percent chance at the top choice, and selected Chris Webber to pair with Shaquille O’Neal. Orlando traded Webber later that night for the No. 3 pick and three future first rounders. That No. 3 pick was Penny Hardaway, who made a lot more sense as an O’Neal running mate.

In 2010, the Wizards had a 10.3-percent chance to win the draft lottery, and Irene Pollin, in one of her last official acts as the team’s owner, represented the franchise while wearing her late husband’s 1978 Washington Bullets NBA championship ring. Washington won the lottery and used the pick to select John Wall.

The following year, Wall attended the lottery as the Wizards’ representative and vowed to wear, or at least carry, the gold jacket Irene Pollin wore the year before.

Further reading:

Traditional big men, nearly extinct in the NBA, nevertheless pack the 2018 draft class

Read up on: DeAndre Ayton | Luka Doncic | Marvin Bagley III | Michael Porter Jr.

For Michael Porter Jr. and Mohamed Bamba, mock drafts are part of March Madness

Local prospects declared for the draft: Justin Jackson | Bruno Fernando | Kevin Huerter | Marcus Derrickson | Jesse Govan

The Philadelphia 76ers should go after Paul George, not LeBron James

The Miami Heat bet big on Hassan Whiteside. It appears they made a mistake. Now what?

Will DeMarcus Cousins be back with the New Orleans Pelicans?

After first-round sweep, Blazers’ next steps could include trading away their stars

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