What a wild start to NFL free agency. Good luck keeping up with all the moves. Not gonna lie: it's not easy to fully incorporate everything in the context of a mock draft. But we'll try.
The biggest thing that stood out to me from free agency over the first 24-48 hours was just how many teams will still be involved in the quarterback hunt. Everyone ended up landing with someone in musical chairs -- even the Bills found AJ McCarron -- but I think the Broncos, Cardinals, Jets, Browns and Bills are all very much involved in the quarterback search.
Buffalo in particular is going to be VERY interesting. It's been widely expected they will try to move up into the top five to chase a quarterback after flipping Cordy Glenn to the Bengals so they could slide nine slots up in the draft.
And there's a trading partner there. I've detailed how it could happen, but the Bills swapping with the Colts and giving them No. 12, No. 22 and No. 65 (they got it for Tyrod Taylor) in a swap for No. 3 overall. The move would let them slide up and grab their choice of quarterback in this scenario, outside of whoever the Browns took.
The interesting domino to that is the Colts not taking a blue-chip guy and the result being Saquon Barkley almost falling out of the top 10. See for yourself and let's get ready to really start mocking now that we know what teams are really facing which holes.
1. Cleveland Browns
Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming: There is an argument the Browns could not take a quarterback after getting Tyrod Taylor, but getting Taylor makes it even easier to stand up at the top of the draft and take a quarterback who you don't need to play right away. Allen mimicks the Chiefs draft of Patrick Mahomes very nicely.
2. New York Giants
Quenton Nelson, OL, Notre Dame: Dave Gettleman is going to stay here and take a blue-chip player who can help the Giants right away. It will either be Nelson or Barkley, and after missing out on Andrew Norwell in free agency, he leans for the nasty Notre Dame guard.
3. Buffalo Bills (via MOCK TRADE with Indianapolis Colts)
Sam Darnold, QB, USC: A really well-played offseason by the Bills here, as a slew of trades and movements ultimately results in them being able to package a bunch of picks, move up and grab their quarterback of the future. Legions of draftniks shriek about Darnold's tiny little hands in the harsh Buffalo weather.
4. Cleveland Browns (via Houston Texans)
Bradley Chubb, DE, NC State: Tough choice here between Chubb and Barkley, but the Browns land the best player in the draft at No. 4 and suddenly they are cooking with GAS on their defensive line.
5. Denver Broncos
Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma: The Broncos signed Case Keenum in free agency and gave him a lot of money but that certainly doesn't prohibit them from drafting someone else at the top. John Elway's been all over Mayfield this offseason.
6. New York Jets
Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA: The Jets definitely can't be ruled out from taking a quarterback either, despite grabbing Teddy Bridgewater and Josh McCown in free agency.
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State: This feels crazy. Barkley's considered a potential top pick in this draft. But if the Colts trade down and the Giants don't take him, he could fall. The Buccaneers cut Doug Martin and might swoop on this.
8. Chicago Bears
Tremaine Edmunds, LB, Virginia Tech: It's easy to see the Bears going defense here and helping Vic Fangio with another versatile weapon.
9. San Francisco 49ers
Derwin James, S, Florida State: The 49ers are in a position where they can keep grabbing the best player available and James is a stud defensive back who can move all over the place.
10. Oakland Raiders
Roquan Smith, LB, Georgia: Imagine how different this defense would look if the Raiders went out and signed Ndamukong Suh and then drafted Smith. Fun stuff.
11. Miami Dolphins
Minkah Fitzpatrick, DB, Alabama: What are the Dolphins doing this offseason? Who knows! Let's give them a gift when a blue chip player falls to them for no apparent reason.
12. Indianapolis Colts (VIA MOCK TRADE WITH Buffalo Bills (via Cincinnati Bengals)
Harold Landry, EDGE, Boston College: Chubb is a much better prospect in my book, but I don't hate the move here down the draft board if the Colts snag the extra picks.
13. Washington Redskins
Denzel Ward, CB, Ohio State: The Redskins lost Breshaud Breeland in free agency and Kendall Fuller to trade. They've still got Josh Norman but they need corner reinforcements.
14. Green Bay Packers
Will Hernandez, OL, UTEP: The Packers could go in a lot of different directions here, but with the investment in the defensive line in free agency, they can beef up the interior of the offensive line and make sure to protect Aaron Rodgers and open up the running game.
15. Arizona Cardinals
Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville: Tough call here. The Cardinals signed Sam Bradford and Mike Glennon but no one thinks they're locked in at quarterback for the long haul.
16. Baltimore Ravens
Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama: The Ravens signed Ryan Grant and John Brown in free agency early on but that can't be the extent of what they hope to put around Joe Flacco. Ozzie Newsome loves his Alabama guys.
17. Los Angeles Chargers
Mike McGlinchey, OL, Notre Dame: Another way to beef up the protection for Philip Rivers, this is a really nice value add this late in the draft.
18. Seattle Seahawks
Maurice Hurst, DL, Michigan: The Seahawks lost a ton to free agency and cuts on the defensive side of the ball, so why not reinvest in the position now? It would be fine if they took an offensive lineman too.
19. Dallas Cowboys
Vita Vea, DL, Washington: There's a little chatter about the Cowboys and Suh, but drafting a defensive tackle would make a lot more sense from a cost perspective.
20. Detroit Lions
Da'Ron Payne, DT, Alabama: The Lions can get a big body in the middle of the defensive line to anchor Matt Patricia's defense.
21. Cincinnati Bengals (via Bills)
Marcus Davenport, EDGE, UTSA: The Bengals swapped spots to get Cordy Glenn so here they can have a pass rusher instead of reaching for an offensive lineman in the first.
22. Indianapolis Colts (VIA MOCK TRADE WITH Buffalo Bills (via Chiefs))
Isaiah Wynn, OL, Georgia: So the Colts trade down and get a pass rusher and protection for Andrew Luck and help in the run game. Not a bad little move.
23. Los Angeles Rams
D.J. Moore, WR, Maryland: After losing Sammy Watkins and likely releasing Tavon Austin, the Rams could use another wide receiver in the fold.
24. Carolina Panthers
Connor Williams, OL, Texas: The Panthers have to get more talent on the offensive line with Andrew Norwell gone, Ryan Kalil departing after 2018 and Matt Kalil not looking like he's going to work out exactly how they hoped.
25. Tennessee Titans
Rashaan Evans, LB, Alabama: The Titans have done a nice job of filling holes this offseason, but could still use some help in the middle of their defense.
26. Atlanta Falcons
Taven Bryan, DL, Florida: The Falcons are always trying to add upside-filled players who fly under the radar a little bit and this would fit that bill, especially with a need on the defensive line.
27. New Orleans Saints
Christian Kirk, WR, Texas A&M: Didn't think we'd get to a place where the Saints needed wide receiver help more than defensive help, but here we are.
28. Pittsburgh Steelers
Derrius Guice, RB, LSU: Running back in the first feels weird for the Steelers, but at this point they have to imagine a world without Le'Veon Bell and that world would begin next year. They did take Bell in the second.
29. Jacksonville Jaguars
Mike Gesicki, TE, Penn State: The Jaguars signed Niles Paul, but I'm still comfortable drafting a freak of nature pass catching tight end who can be another weapon for Blake Bortles.
30. Minnesota Vikings
Mike Hughes, CB, UCF: Corner isn't a need for the Vikings, but it takes time to learn Mike Zimmer's scheme for these defensive backs so they need to prep years in advance for an opening. Nice value here.
31. New England Patriots
Josh Jackson, CB, Iowa: Good value here and the Patriots can add another cornerback to a roster that needs help at the position.
32. Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Goedert, TE, SDSU: Losing Trey Burton in free agency means the Eagles would like to get some more depth at the position.
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